Forex Analysis & Reviews: 15.11.2022 - US inflation keeps a high...

15.11.2022 03:20 PM

US inflation keeps a high chance of recession next year

Meanwhile, US stock indices are recovering on the back of good reports from Walmart, economists predict that US inflation will be higher than last month, and the chances of a recession continue to increase amid rising borrowing costs.

Forecasts for the personal consumption expenditure price index — the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation — were revised higher and higher after each meeting. Nevertheless, during the year, there has been a sharp decrease in price pressure. The PCE price index will average 2.8% in the last three months. This was due to sluggish economic activity and higher interest rates.

Forecasters also raised quarterly expectations for the so-called core fixed asset price index, which excludes food and energy costs and the consumer price index. Meanwhile, the probability of a recession next year continued to grow, increasing to 65% from 60% in October.

Premarket

As noted above, Walmart shares rose 6.9% in premarket trading after the retailer reported higher-than-expected quarterly earnings and that store sales beat estimates. Walmart also announced a $20 billion stock buyback program.

Vodafone's securities fell by 4.1% in the premarket after the mobile operator lowered its revenue forecast, pointing to the difficult economic situation.

Getty Images' shares fell 11.8% in premarket trading as its quarterly revenue fell short of economists' and Wall Street's forecasts. However, the operator of the visual content market was able to show a profit that exceeded the consensus forecast.

Home Depot's securities sank 1.1% in the premarket after the company exceeded revenue forecasts but only confirmed its profit forecast for the full year without revising it.

Energizer and Rayovac rose 10% in premarket trading after better-than-expected quarterly results.

Estee Lauder is reportedly close to a $2.8 billion deal to buy Tom Ford's fashion company. This will be the largest acquisition of a cosmetics company. Estee Lauder rose 2.1% in the premarket.

As for the technical picture of the S&P 500, the market stabilized a little after yesterday's sharp collapse at the end of the day. The main task for buyers now is to maintain the $3,968 support. While trading will be conducted above this level, we can expect continued demand for risky assets. This will create good prerequisites for strengthening the trading instrument and returning $4,000 under control. The level of $4,038 is located slightly higher. A break in this area will strengthen the hope for a further upward correction with an exit from the resistance of $4,064. The most distant target will be $4,091. In a downward movement, buyers must declare themselves at $3,968. A breakdown of this range will quickly push the trading instrument to $3,942 and open up the possibility of updating the support at $3,905.

你今天已经点赞上这篇文章了

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

If you have any content questions, please contact editorial-board@instaforex.com

Stock Markets

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025

该作者的更多文章

电子邮件订阅

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

选择时间框架

分钟

小时

天

周

开始交易

通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。

下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。

推荐文章

3月17日股市分析：S&P 500和納斯達克持續承壓

美國市場：S&P 500 形成強勁支撐

3月14日股市：標普500和NASDAQ指數繼續下跌

唐納·川普才剛剛開始

美國股市：NASDAQ 和 SP500 正在經歷調整，距離歷史高點下跌 10%

標普500指數2025年3月14日預測

美國股市尋求支撐

3月13日股市：SP500和NASDAQ漲幅短暫

美國市場經歷強勁修正

3月12日股市情況：S&P 500和NASDAQ再創新低

Top analytics