empty
 
 
05.11.2024 12:54 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, gold is attracting buyers on pullbacks, supported by multiple factors. Demand for safe-haven assets, influenced by tense U.S. presidential elections and the risk of further geopolitical escalation in the Middle East, offers some support for gold.

Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve will further lower interest rates, amid signs of a cooling U.S. labor market, continue to reduce U.S. Treasury yields. This has prompted renewed selling of the U.S. dollar, creating an additional supportive factor for gold.

However, the upward potential for gold remains limited, as traders are hesitant to initiate aggressive positions ahead of this week's key event risksthe U.S. presidential elections and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Alongside these risks, today's release of the ISM Services PMI during the U.S. session will be viewed as a short-term trading opportunity.

From a technical standpoint, the recent pullback from the all-time high may indicate fading buyer momentum. However, the mixed daily chart oscillators suggest exercising caution before positioning for further losses. Therefore, any decline is likely to encounter support near the horizontal range of $2730-2715. A break below this may prompt a test of the next support at the round level of $2700, followed by additional support at $2690. A sustained move below these levels would signal a bearish breakout and open the path for a more significant drop.

On the other hand, the $2750 level serves as immediate resistance, followed by the $2790 level, which aligns with last Thursday's all-time high. Beyond that lies the round level of $2800, with the resistance of the ascending channel located at $2820. Sustained strength above these levels would act as a new catalyst for bullish momentum, allowing gold to resume its recent, well-established upward trend.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $5000 more!
    In November we raffle $5000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback